Nem Independência Nem Unificação: a Política de Taiwan para a China Continental durante o Governo Ma Ying-Jeou (2008–2016) | Neither Independence nor Unification: Taiwan’s Mainland China Policy during the Ma Ying-jeou Era (2008–2016) |
Palavras-chave:
Ma Ying-jeou, Taiwan, China Continental, Relações através do EstreitoResumo
O objetivo deste artigo é analisar a política de Taiwan em relação à China continental durante a administração de Ma Ying-jeou como uma estratégia de economic statecraft, e como essa política influenciou as dimensões econômica, externa e das relações entre os dois lados do Estreito. Em 2008, Ma, do Kuomintang, venceu a eleição presidencial taiwanesa, encerrando oito anos da administração pró-independência de Chen Shui-bian e alterando de forma substantiva as relações entre Taiwan e a China. Ma, que se identificava como etnicamente chinês e se posicionava contra a independência de Taiwan, adotou diversas medidas, incluindo a suspensão de atividades pró-independência, o estabelecimento de contatos diretos com Pequim e a assinatura de múltiplos acordos econômicos. Embora as relações entre os dois lados do Estreito tenham melhorado, não foram conduzidas negociações políticas. O artigo sustenta que Ma adotou estrategicamente uma postura favorável à China com o objetivo principal de extrair concessões políticas e econômicas de Pequim. De facto, Ma promoveu a manutenção da soberania de Taiwan ao rejeitar a unificação e ao pressionar Pequim a enquadrar as negociações entre os dois lados do Estreito como uma forma especial de relações não internacional de “Estado para Estado”.
Downloads
Referências
Baldwin, D.A. (1985) Economic statecraft. Princeton: Princeton University Press.
BBC (2015) 台灣國防部:中國應誠實面對抗戰歷史. BBC News 中文. Available at: http://www.bbc.com/zhongwen/trad/china/2015/02/150203_taiwan_china_ww2 (Accessed on: june 28, 2018).
BBC (2016) 不容許中國「降格」 台灣持續爭取亞投行. BBC News 中文. Available at: http://www.bbc.com/zhongwen/trad/china/2016/04/160412_tw_refused_relegated_in_aiib (Accessed on: june 28, 2018).
Chang, K’ai-sheng (2012) 兩岸互不否認 馬:受德國經驗啟發. Want Daily. Available at: https://tw.news.yahoo.com/兩岸互不否認-馬-受德國經驗啟發-213000320.html (Accessed on: june 28, 2018).
Chang, Li-na and Yen, Chen-k’ai (2013) 反黑箱服貿 20社團上凱道. Apple Daily. Available at: https://tw.appledaily.com/headline/daily/20130728/35182002/applesearch/反黑箱服貿20社團上凱道 (Accessed on: june 28, 2018).
Chang, Hsiang-yi, Wu, Ting-feng and Hsiung, Yi-hsi (2014) 台灣貧富差距創新高!1%比99%的戰爭. Commonwealth Magazine. Available at: http://www.cw.com.tw/article/article.action?id=5058705 (Accessed on: june 28, 2018).
Chase, M.S. (2016) ‘Fisheries issues in Taiwan’s relationships with Japan and the Philippines’, in DOSSANI, R. and HAROLD, S.W. (eds.) Maritime issues in the East and South China Seas. Santa Monica: RAND Corporation, pp. 89–94.
Chen, D.P. (2017) US–China rivalry and Taiwan’s mainland policy: security, nationalism, and the 1992 consensus. London: Palgrave Macmillan.
Chen, Kuan-ting (2014) 馬籲朝野拼經濟 否則將「有志難伸」. New Talk. Available at: https://newtalk.tw/news/view/2014-12-27/55249 (Accessed on: june 28, 2018).
Chen, I-shan and Ku, Shu-jen (2014) 服貿的下一步 台灣怎麼走下去. Commonwealth Magazine. Available at: https://www.cw.com.tw/article/article.action?id=5057048 (Accessed on: june 28, 2018).
Cheng, Yu-ping (2007) 民進黨選舉策略中「本土牌」運用之政治分析. National Policy Foundation. Available at: https://www.npf.org.tw/2/3025 (Accessed on: june 28, 2018).
Chiang, Min-hua (2016) Can Tsai Ing-wen cure Taiwan’s economic illness? IPP Review. Available at: http://ippreview.com/index.php/Home/Blog/single/id/94.html (Accessed on: june 28, 2018).
Chuang, Chi-wei (2012) 不怕被誤會!吳伯雄登陸談「一國兩區」. TVBS News. Available at: https://news.tvbs.com.tw/entry/12317 (Accessed on: june 28, 2018).
Directorate General of Budget, Accounting and Statistics – DGBAS (2016) National accounts yearbook 2016. Taipei: Chinese Statistical Association. Available at: https://eng.stat.gov.tw/public/data/dgbas03/bs4/NiYBE/naye.pdf (Accessed on: june 28, 2018).
Election Study Center (2018a) Taiwanese/Chinese identification trend distribution in Taiwan (1992/06–2017/12). National Chengchi University. Available at: https://esc.nccu.edu.tw/course/news.php?Sn=166 (Accessed on: june 28, 2018).
Election Study Center (2018b) Taiwan independence vs. unification with the mainland trend distribution in Taiwan (1992/06–2017/12). National Chengchi University. Available at: https://esc.nccu.edu.tw/course/news.php?Sn=167 (Accessed on: june 28, 2018).
Evans, T. (2010) Ma: Taiwan won’t ask U.S. to fight China. CNN. Available at: http://edition.cnn.com/2010/WORLD/asiapcf/04/30/taiwan.china.us/index.html (Accessed on: june 28, 2018).
Farrell, H. and Newman, A.L. (2019) 'Weaponized interdependence: how global economic networks shape state coercion', International Security, 44(1), pp. 42–79.
Fell, D. (2018) Government and politics in Taiwan. 2nd edn. Abingdon: Routledge.
Hirschman, A.O. (1945) National power and the structure of foreign trade. Berkeley: University of California Press.
Fuller, D.B. (2018) ‘The drift: industrial policy under President Ma’, in BECKERSHOFF, A. and SCHUBERT, G. (eds.) Assessing the presidency of Ma Ying-jeou in Taiwan. Oxfordshire: Routledge, pp. 208–223.
Gilley, B. (2010) Not so dire strait: how the Finlandization of Taiwan benefits U.S. security. Foreign Affairs, pp. 89–101.
Hornby, L. and Cohen, L. (2013) No ties? No problem as China courts Taiwan’s remaining allies. Reuters. Available at: https://www.reuters.com/article/us-china-centralamerica-idUSBRE97514C20130806 (Accessed on: june 28, 2018).
Hu, Jintao (2008) 紀念《告台灣同胞書》30週年 胡錦濤發表重要講話. Xinhua News. Available at: http://cpc.people.com.cn/GB/64093/64094/8610493.html (Accessed on: june 28, 2018).
Huang, J. (2017) ‘Xi Jinping’s Taiwan policy: boxing Taiwan in with the One-China framework’, in DITTMER, L. (ed.) Taiwan and China: fitful embrace. Berkeley: University of California Press, pp. 239–248.
Jia, Qinglin (2012) 賈慶林在第八屆兩岸經貿文化論壇開幕式上的致辭. Xinhua News. Available at: http://big5.gov.cn/gate/big5/www.gov.cn/ldhd/2012-07/28/content_2194141.htm (Accessed on: june 28, 2018).
Kane, P.V. (2011) To save our economy, ditch Taiwan. The New York Times. Available at: https://www.nytimes.com/2011/11/11/opinion/to-save-our-economy-ditch-taiwan.html (Accessed on: june 28, 2018).
Keohane, R. O. and Nye, J.S. (1977) Power and interdependence: world politics in transition. Boston: Little, Brown.
Lan, Hsiao-wei (2014) 陸委會: 南海主權不會與陸合作. China Times. Available at: http://www.chinatimes.com/newspapers/20140516000968-260108 (Accessed on: june 28, 2018).
Lee, Chun-yi and Yin, Ming-xi (2017) Chinese investment in Taiwan: a challenge or an opportunity for Taiwan? Journal of Current Chinese Affairs, 46(1), pp. 37–59.
Lee, M. (2011) ‘Cross-Taiwan Straits relations and Ma Ying-jeou’s policy of diplomatic truce’, in CAI, K.G. (ed.) Cross-Taiwan Straits relations since 1979. Singapore: World Scientific, pp. 187–216.
Li, Chia-hsin (2017) 臺灣教育政策變遷及其對民眾國家認同的影響. Forum of World Economics & Politics, (1), pp. 134–152.
Liao, Hsien-Mo (2015) The political myth of “viable diplomacy” and “diplomatic truce” under the Ma Ying-jeou administration. Taiwan International Studies Quarterly, 11(4), pp. 179–199.
Lim, Mah-hui (2014) Globalization, export-led growth and inequality: the East Asian story. Geneva: South Centre.
Lin, Gang (2016) Beijing’s new strategies toward a changing Taiwan. Journal of Contemporary China, 25(99), pp. 321–335.
Liu, Chieh-yeh and Liu, Jung (2014) 馬英九希望APEC習馬會 國台辦:不需借助國際場合. People’s Daily, 28 May. Available at: http://tw.people.com.cn/n/2014/0528/c14657-25075678.html (Accessed on: june 28, 2018).
Liu, Wen-bin (2010) The prospects of cross-strait relations under different cultural identity trends. Outlook and Explore, 8(11), pp. 27–49.
Lu, Hao-Ch’ien (2014) 「太陽花學運」大事記. ETtoday, 9 April. Available at: https://www.ettoday.net/news/20140409/343775.htm (Accessed on: june 28, 2018).
Ma, Ying-jeou (2008) 中華民國第12任總統馬英九先生就職演說. Office of the President. Available at: https://www.president.gov.tw/NEWS/12226 (Accessed on: june 28, 2018).
Ma, Ying-jeou (2008) 總統接受墨西哥「太陽報」系集團董事長瓦斯蓋茲(Mario Vázquez Raña)專訪. Office of the President. Available at: https://www.president.gov.tw/NEWS/12562 (Accessed on: june 28, 2018).
Ma, Ying-jeou (2012) 中華民國第13任總統、副總統宣誓就職典禮. Office of the President. Available at: https://www.president.gov.tw/NEWS/16612 (Accessed on: june 28, 2018).
Mainland Affairs Council (MAC) (2016) Number of mainland China tourists to Taiwan. Taipei. Available at: http://www.mac.gov.tw/public/MMO/MAC/274_15.pdf (Accessed on: june 28, 2018).
Matsuda, Y. (2015) ‘Cross-Strait relations under the Ma Ying-jeou administration: from economic to political dependence?’, Journal of Contemporary East Asia Studies, 4(2), pp. 3–35.
Mearsheimer, J. J. (2014) ‘Say goodbye to Taiwan’, The National Interest. Available at: http://nationalinterest.org/article/say-goodbye-taiwan-9931 (Accessed on: june 28, 2018).
Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the People’s Republic of China (2003) China’s policy paper on the European Union. Beijing. Available at: https://www.fmprc.gov.cn (Accessed on: june 28, 2018).
National Statistics Database (2018) National Statistic. Available at: https://www1.stat.gov.tw/mp.asp?mp=3 (Accessed on: june 28, 2018).
Office of the President (Taiwan) (2016) Republic of China Yearbook 2016. Taipei. Available at: HTTPS://ENGLISH.PRESIDENT.GOV.TW (Accessed on: june 28, 2018).
P’an, I.-ching and She, Y.-ning (2012) ‘陸委會:不接受一國兩制’, Commercial Times, Taipei. Available at: https://tw.news.yahoo.com/陸委會-不接受-國兩制-213000487.html (Accessed on: june 28, 2018).
Rigger, S. (2011) Why Taiwan matters: small island, global powerhouse. Lanham: Rowman & Littlefield.
Rigger, S. (2021) The tiger leading the dragon: how Taiwan propelled China's economic rise. Lanham: Rowman & Littlefield.
Taiwan Affairs Office (TAO) (2004) ‘中台辦、國台辦受權就當前兩岸關係發表聲明’, People’s Daily, Beijing. Available at: http://www.people.com.cn/GB/shizheng/1026/2500277.html (Accessed on: june 28, 2018).
Taiwan Affairs Office (TAO) (2015) ‘國台辦:歡迎台灣同胞參加抗戰勝利70週年紀念活動’, Xinhua News, Beijing. Available at: http://www.xinhuanet.com/tw/2015-03/11/c_1114601957.htm (Accessed on: june 28, 2018).
Tanner, M. S. (2007) Chinese economic coercion against Taiwan: a tricky weapon to use. Santa Monica: RAND Corporation.
Taylor, J. Y. (2016) ‘Analysis of Taiwan’s East China Sea and South China Sea peace initiatives’, in DOSSANI, R. AND HAROLD, S. W. (eds.) Maritime issues in the East and South China Seas. Santa Monica: RAND Corporation, pp. 95–101.
Tsai, G. W. (2011) “Cross-Taiwan Straits relations: policy adjustment and prospects”, in CAI, K. G. (ed.) Cross-Taiwan Straits relations since 1979: policy adjustment and institutional change across the straits. Singapore: World Scientific, pp. 115–154.
Tsai, T.-C. and Liu, T. T.-T. (2017) ‘Cross-Strait relations and regional integration: a review of the Ma Ying-jeou era (2008–2016)’, Journal of Current Chinese Affairs, 46(1), pp. 11–35.
Xinhua News (XHN) (2005) ‘實錄:中國國民黨主席連戰“和平之旅”記者會’, People’s Daily, Beijing. Available at: http://tw.people.com.cn/BIG5/14810/3360605.html (Accessed on: june 28, 2018).
Xinhua News (XHN) (2008) ‘胡錦濤:在“九二共識”基礎上恢復兩岸協商談判’. Beijing: Taiwan Affairs Office (TAO). Available at: http://big5.gwytb.gov.cn/speech/speech/201101/t20110123_1723927.htm (Accessed on: june 28, 2018).
Xinhua News (XHN) (2014) ‘習近平總書記會見台灣和平統一團體聯合參訪團’, Xinhua News, Beijing. Available at: http://www.xinhuanet.com/politics/2014-09/26/c_1112641354.htm (Accessed on: june 28, 2018).
Xinhua News (XHN) (2013a) ‘習近平會見蕭萬長 對促進兩岸合作提出4點希望’, Xinhua News, Hainan. Available at: http://big5.gov.cn/gate/big5/www.gov.cn/ldhd/2013-04/08/content_2372673.htm (Accessed on: june 28, 2018).
Xinhua News (XHN) (2013b) ‘習近平會見蕭萬長一行 強調兩岸應加強交流合作’, Xinhua News, Bali. Available at: http://big5.gov.cn/gate/big5/www.gov.cn/ldhd/2013-10/06/content_2501123.htm (Accessed on: june 28, 2018).
Yan, J.-fa (2009) ‘A preliminary probe into the Chinese policy of the Ma Ying-jeou administration’, Taiwan International Studies Quarterly, 5(3), pp. 1–25.
Yan, J.-fa (2010) ‘The difficulties and challenges of Ma Ying-jeou’s China-centric strategy’, Taiwan International Studies Quarterly, 6(2), pp. 63–90.
Wang, C. (2012) ‘馬英九連任後:兩岸關係面臨的挑戰’, National Development Studies, 12(1), pp. 125–156.
Wang, S.-c. (2015) ‘「習馬會」:兩岸領導人將首次會晤’, The New York Times (Chinese edition), Hong Kong, 4 November. Available at: https://cn.nytimes.com/china/20151104/c04taiwan/zh-hant/ (Accessed on: june 28, 2018).
Wang, W. (2016) ‘Thought of peaceful development of cross-strait relationship: formation, contribution and limitation’, Taiwan Research, 20(1), pp. 21–30.
Zhang, Z. (2013) ‘張志軍在首屆兩岸和平論壇開幕式上的致辭’. Beijing: Taiwan Affairs Office (TAO). Available at: http://big5.gwytb.gov.cn/headlines/201402/t20140221_5714118.htm (Accessed on: june 28, 2018).
Downloads
Publicado
Como Citar
Edição
Seção
Licença
Copyright (c) 2026 Ben Lian Deng

Este trabalho está licenciado sob uma licença Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
Os Direitos Autorais dos artigos publicados na Revista Mural Internacional pertencem ao(s) seu(s) respectivo(s) autor(es), com os direitos de primeira publicação cedidos à Revista Mural Internacional, com o trabalho simultaneamente licenciado sob uma Licença Creative Commons Atribuição, a qual permite o compartilhamento do trabalho com reconhecimento da autoria e publicação inicial nesta revista. Em virtude de aparecerem na Mural Internacional, o material criado por você pode ser distribuído, copiado e exibido por terceiros. O trabalho original deve ser citado e apresentar um link para o artigo disponível no site da revista em que foi publicado, de acordo com os termos da Licença Creative Commons Atribuição 4.0 Internacional adotado por esta Revista.
Este obra está licenciado com uma Licença Creative Commons Atribuição 4.0 Internacional.
